: Third wave of Covid likely to hit India late, says government panel head, cites ICMR study #IndiaNEWS A study conducted by the Indian Council of Medical Research has shown that if a third wave of the

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Third wave of Covid likely to hit India late, says government panel head, cites ICMR study #IndiaNEWS
A study conducted by the Indian Council of Medical Research has shown that if a third wave of the coronavirus hits India, it is likely to come late, the head of a government working group said on Sunday.“We have a window period of six to eight months [before third wave] to immunise everybody in the country,� NK Arora, chairperson of India’s Covid-19 Working Group of the National Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation, told ANI. “In the coming days, our target is to administer 1 crore [vaccine] doses every day.�The ICMR study also suggests that the prospective third wave is likely to be less severe than the second one, The Hindu reported. Using a model to forecast the third wave, the scientists found that at least 30% of the population who had been infected earlier must entirely lose their immunity for the third wave to be as devastating.In another possible scenario for the third wave to be equally severe, an emerging variant of the virus must have a reproductive rate of over 4.5, which means each infected person should be spreading the virus to at least four to five others and these must occur almost immediately after the second wave ends.“For a virus to cause a major third wave in the...Read more

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