: Rising R-number, falling doubling time: India will witness a bigger Covid surge in coming days #IndiaNEWS For the first time in seven months, India recorded over 1 lakh cases on January 6, which increased

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Rising R-number, falling doubling time: India will witness a bigger Covid surge in coming days #IndiaNEWS
For the first time in seven months, India recorded over 1 lakh cases on January 6, which increased to 1.59 lakh cases on January 9. As several parts of the country witnessed a surge due to the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19, two indicators – effective reproduction number and doubling time – suggest a further increase in cases in the coming days.The reproduction number is a measure of transmission – the average number of people infected by one infected person. The government announced on January 5 that the R is 2.69 and this is higher than the R during the second wave. That is, each Covid-19 patient is infecting 2.69 others, on average.If the R of a disease is greater than one, it means that the number of cases is growing fast and can cause an epidemic. If the R is equal to one, the disease is growing slower but is still dangerous and many could contract it. If the R is lower than one, that is, one person infects fewer than one other person, on average, then the disease will slowly die out.Doubling time is the number of days taken for cases to double. India’s doubling time fell from 3,684.4 days on...Read more

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